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Qual 782022 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red58
382111.5
402044.3
6320.6
Blue94
261442.2
349216.1
405022.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9178601001201405894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#11
44.31.7
47.6→45.9
Auto14.5
Teleop20.1
End9.7
red by 2.1
2614
#1
42.21.3
40.5→41.8
Auto10.7
Teleop20.2
End11.3
Second
63
#26
20.61.7
22.3→20.6
Auto6.4
Teleop4.5
End9.7
blue by 1.7
4050
#7
22.31.3
21.2→22.4
Auto7.6
Teleop8.3
End6.3
Third
3821
#19
11.52.1
13.8→11.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End4.2
blue by 4.6
3492
#31
16.11.6
13.0→14.6
Auto6.7
Teleop5.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned