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Red73
34330.3
405022.3
74069.6
Blue54
396615.0
28568.2
239333.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50480204060801001201407354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#5
30.32.0
24.626.6
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End8.9
blue by 2.9
2393
#14
33.20.6
24.925.5
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End10.1
Second
22.31.8
16.318.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.3
End6.3
red by 7.3
3966
#24
15.01.0
12.913.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Third
7406
#34
9.62.9
5.78.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 1.4
2856
#33
8.21.0
7.48.4
Auto1.3
Teleop6.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed