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Semifinal 1-32022 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red122
225241.5
261442.2
500217.1
Blue106
239333.2
402840.9
349216.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111926080100120140160180122106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#1
42.20.5
42.4→42.9
Auto10.7
Teleop20.2
End11.3
red by 1.3
4028
#4
40.90.4
40.5→40.9
Auto11.0
Teleop16.2
End13.7
Second
2252
#13
41.50.5
41.7→42.2
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End7.9
red by 8.4
2393
#14
33.20.4
32.8→33.2
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End10.1
Third
5002
#27
17.10.5
17.3→17.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.1
End9.6
red by 1.0
3492
#31
16.10.4
15.7→16.1
Auto6.7
Teleop5.4
End4.0