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Red64
75759.2
815314.7
683832.5
Blue49
88593.2
698522.5
809210.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52250204060801006449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.2
29.530.7
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
red by 10.0
22.50.3
12.312.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End11.4
Second
14.72.0
8.310.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End6.2
red by 3.8
10.90.3
8.79.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End5.6
Third
7575
#20
9.22.0
7.99.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End2.8
red by 6.0
8859
#41
3.20.3
5.75.9
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed