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Red86
728536.9
566511.1
809210.9
Blue22
77296.4
88615.6
60146.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591102040808622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.92.4
32.935.3
Auto13.8
Teleop14.3
End8.8
red by 30.6
7729
#23
6.40.3
4.34.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Second
5665
#10
11.14.1
7.411.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End4.8
red by 4.7
6014
#39
6.40.2
5.75.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Third
10.94.1
9.013.0
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End5.6
red by 5.3
8861
#34
5.60.2
6.46.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned9%Hangar oddsMissed