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Red51
81587.7
87956.3
643626.3
Blue34
809210.9
497211.7
76829.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433302060805134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.5
24.725.3
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End12.8
red by 14.6
4972
#32
11.70.2
11.010.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.0
Second
8158
#29
7.70.9
7.38.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End3.6
blue by 3.2
10.90.3
13.012.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End5.6
Third
8795
#30
6.30.6
6.97.5
Auto3.1
Teleop1.0
End2.3
blue by 2.8
7682
#21
9.10.3
8.38.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed