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Red21
775811.2
497211.7
75491.7
Blue37
77488.1
88593.2
885611.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622010304050602137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4972
#32
11.70.2
10.810.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.0
red by 0.4
8856
#13
11.30.4
7.57.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End4.7
Second
7758
#12
11.20.3
8.78.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End6.3
red by 3.1
7748
#25
8.10.4
8.48.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End3.1
Third
7549
#42
1.70.3
4.64.2
Auto0.9
Teleop0.2
End0.6
blue by 1.6
8859
#41
3.20.4
5.35.7
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed