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Red30
497211.7
641712.8
88004.6
Blue6
809210.9
75491.7
69880.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30190104050306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6417
#16
12.80.2
12.412.6
Auto5.6
Teleop1.5
End5.8
red by 1.9
10.91.9
11.79.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End5.6
Second
4972
#32
11.70.2
10.610.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.0
red by 10.0
7549
#42
1.71.9
4.22.3
Auto0.9
Teleop0.2
End0.6
Third
8800
#40
4.60.4
3.84.2
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.2
End1.9
red by 3.7
6988
#43
0.91.1
3.01.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.5
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed