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Red44
497211.7
60146.4
808421.6
Blue56
824010.6
76829.1
683832.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36530204060804456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.5
19.219.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End10.5
blue by 10.9
32.50.3
30.731.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
Second
4972
#32
11.70.3
10.811.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.0
red by 1.0
8240
#19
10.60.5
9.49.9
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End4.1
Third
6014
#39
6.40.3
5.86.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 2.8
7682
#21
9.10.5
7.68.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed