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Red50
497211.7
805411.3
698522.5
Blue64
808421.6
767215.0
805810.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060805064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.8
20.621.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End11.4
red by 0.9
21.62.9
19.722.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End10.5
Second
4972
#32
11.70.5
11.111.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.0
blue by 3.4
15.02.9
10.913.8
Auto4.5
Teleop-0.0
End10.6
Third
8054
#18
11.30.5
11.011.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End4.4
red by 1.2
8058
#24
10.02.9
5.68.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned