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Red38
824010.6
87956.3
75759.2
Blue16
69880.9
694821.0
566511.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2344060803816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8240
#19
10.60.6
9.910.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End4.1
blue by 10.4
6948
#14
21.01.5
22.521.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End9.4
Second
7575
#20
9.20.6
8.79.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End2.8
blue by 1.9
5665
#10
11.12.4
13.811.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End4.8
Third
8795
#30
6.30.4
6.06.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.0
End2.3
red by 5.4
6988
#43
0.91.5
2.50.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.5
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed