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Red33
815314.7
64596.1
497211.7
Blue36
77296.4
177218.1
80564.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352801020405060703336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.70.1
14.414.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End6.2
blue by 3.4
18.10.4
17.618.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Second
4972
#32
11.70.1
11.611.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.0
red by 5.3
7729
#23
6.40.5
5.96.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Third
6459
#35
6.10.1
6.06.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End2.4
red by 1.7
8056
#36
4.40.4
4.04.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed