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Red78
683832.5
728536.9
805810.0
Blue59
698522.5
767215.0
879813.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9048204060801001201407859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.2
36.936.7
Auto13.8
Teleop14.3
End8.8
red by 14.4
22.50.3
22.322.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End11.4
Second
32.50.2
32.532.3
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
red by 17.5
15.00.3
14.715.0
Auto4.5
Teleop-0.0
End10.6
Third
8058
#24
10.00.3
10.09.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End3.7
blue by 3.6
8798
#28
13.60.3
13.313.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End4.9