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Red65
808421.6
643626.3
81587.7
Blue61
694821.0
177218.1
497211.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62553040507080901006561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.1
26.726.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.7
End12.8
red by 5.3
6948
#14
21.00.0
21.521.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End9.4
Second
21.60.1
22.322.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End10.5
red by 3.6
18.10.0
18.718.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.2
End4.9
Third
8158
#29
7.70.1
8.38.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End3.6
blue by 4.0
4972
#32
11.70.0
12.112.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End4.0