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Red30
744415.5
88613.2
757014.2
Blue68
683830.1
698910.0
497210.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273201020405060703068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7444
#11
15.50.4
8.78.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End7.8
blue by 14.7
30.14.3
9.313.6
Auto8.6
Teleop20.0
End1.5
Second
14.20.4
9.18.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End1.9
red by 3.5
4972
#24
10.84.3
9.313.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End3.3
Third
8861
#22
3.23.2
10.97.7
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.3
blue by 6.8
6989
#13
10.04.3
11.015.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed