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Red40
855512.7
29055.7
85995.5
Blue33
80793.7
80347.1
757014.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28282630323436404033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.70.2
11.211.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End4.2
blue by 1.5
14.20.1
10.210.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End1.9
Second
2905
#25
5.70.2
8.38.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.6
End0.2
blue by 1.4
8034
#17
7.10.1
5.65.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Third
8599
#12
5.50.2
6.66.8
Auto3.5
Teleop0.1
End1.9
red by 1.8
8079
#29
3.70.1
10.210.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed