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Red11
81668.1
85995.5
80793.7
Blue35
757014.2
64292.8
87850.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2628102040501135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8166
#15
8.12.0
7.95.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 6.1
14.21.2
10.18.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End1.9
Second
8599
#12
5.52.0
6.84.8
Auto3.5
Teleop0.1
End1.9
red by 2.6
6429
#27
2.81.2
10.59.2
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
Third
8079
#29
3.72.0
10.18.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End-0.1
red by 3.2
8785
#30
0.51.2
5.64.4
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed