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Red41
744415.5
826411.2
60148.1
Blue79
728531.7
80549.1
757014.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32481020406070804179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7444
#11
15.50.6
16.016.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End7.8
blue by 16.2
31.73.7
25.629.3
Auto12.6
Teleop12.6
End6.5
Second
8264
#16
11.20.5
9.910.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.7
blue by 3.0
14.23.7
12.015.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.2
End1.9
Third
6014
#21
8.10.5
5.96.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 1.0
8054
#20
9.13.7
5.69.3
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsEarned