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Red41
85578.2
744415.5
855512.7
Blue57
722810.9
87998.0
683830.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3746102030506070804157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7444
#11
15.50.1
15.215.2
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End7.8
blue by 14.7
30.11.4
26.327.7
Auto8.6
Teleop20.0
End1.5
Second
12.70.1
13.213.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End4.2
red by 1.8
7228
#10
10.91.4
9.811.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End5.3
Third
8557
#18
8.20.1
7.98.0
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End3.5
red by 0.2
8799
#14
8.01.4
6.27.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed