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Red21
29055.7
694819.2
81593.5
Blue46
855512.7
69886.3
728531.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2935010204050602146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.8
10.19.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End9.4
blue by 12.5
31.71.5
14.215.8
Auto12.6
Teleop12.6
End6.5
Second
2905
#25
5.70.8
10.19.3
Auto4.0
Teleop1.6
End0.2
blue by 7.0
12.73.1
12.79.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End4.2
Third
8159
#23
3.50.8
7.97.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End0.1
blue by 2.8
6988
#26DQ
6.31.5
10.011.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed