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Red49
87998.0
744415.5
643620.8
Blue19
85995.5
88613.2
497210.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263201020405060704919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.82.2
11.613.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End11.5
red by 10.1
4972
#24
10.81.1
13.512.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End3.3
Second
7444
#11
15.52.2
8.310.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End7.8
red by 10.0
8599
#12
5.51.1
7.76.6
Auto3.5
Teleop0.1
End1.9
Third
8799
#14
8.02.2
5.07.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 4.8
8861
#22
3.21.1
7.76.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed