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Red3
83101.0
641711.3
82614.9
Blue15
87555.9
85009.1
29059.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28230406080100120315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6417
#22
11.32.5
11.79.2
Auto5.4
Teleop2.9
End2.9
red by 2.2
2905
#13
9.10.5
5.75.2
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End4.0
Second
8261
#20
4.92.5
7.55.0
Auto1.5
Teleop1.9
End1.4
blue by 4.2
8500
#11
9.11.7
9.17.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Third
8310
#44
1.02.5
6.33.8
Auto1.1
Teleop0.3
End-0.4
blue by 5.0
8755
#14
5.91.4
5.97.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed