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Red2
74662.3
64313.7
41917.4
Blue24
80706.9
69028.7
875910.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182701030405060224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4191
#38
7.41.8
6.24.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 3.0
8759
#15
10.40.4
6.35.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Second
6431
#24
3.71.8
7.96.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End-0.2
blue by 5.0
8.70.4
9.28.8
Auto4.8
Teleop1.3
End2.6
Third
7466
#42
2.31.8
4.02.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop1.4
End1.1
blue by 4.6
8070
#16
6.90.4
8.58.0
Auto2.7
Teleop0.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed