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Red18
29059.1
88624.0
80425.7
Blue55
82636.3
753616.1
814612.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15200103040501855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#13
9.10.0
5.65.5
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End4.0
blue by 7.0
16.13.2
8.011.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End8.7
Second
8042
#34
5.70.1
6.66.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End1.7
blue by 7.0
12.73.2
5.48.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Third
8862
#30
4.00.1
2.52.4
Auto0.7
Teleop1.6
End1.7
blue by 2.3
6.33.2
5.08.2
Auto2.3
Teleop0.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsEarned