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Red44
85009.1
623215.4
814612.7
Blue24
64296.4
41917.4
69028.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2614010203040506070804424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.42.3
8.410.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End10.0
red by 6.7
8.71.0
8.89.9
Auto4.8
Teleop1.3
End2.6
Second
12.72.3
8.610.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End3.6
red by 5.3
4191
#38
7.41.0
3.54.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Third
8500
#11
9.12.3
6.28.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.4
End2.2
red by 2.7
6429
#32
6.40.6
2.32.9
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed