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Red0
59938.0
74662.3
87437.3
Blue23
84076.5
623215.4
82098.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262901020405060023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5993
#23
8.02.8
10.17.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End2.7
blue by 7.3
15.40.4
8.37.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End10.0
Second
8743
#17
7.31.9
7.35.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.1
End4.2
blue by 1.0
8209
#12
8.30.4
8.68.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End4.4
Third
7466
#42
2.32.8
6.74.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop1.4
End1.1
blue by 4.2
8407
#29
6.50.4
9.69.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned