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Red28
77196.6
59938.0
81498.1
Blue21
814612.7
64296.4
80706.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1923010304050602821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8149
#37
8.11.0
6.67.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End3.4
blue by 4.6
12.70.0
10.910.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Second
5993
#23
8.01.0
6.47.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End2.7
red by 1.1
8070
#16
6.90.0
7.47.4
Auto2.7
Teleop0.6
End3.6
Third
7719
#33
6.61.0
5.66.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End0.2
red by 0.2
6429
#32
6.40.0
2.92.9
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed