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Red31
76009.3
64303.3
856112.6
Blue28
29059.1
87957.8
82098.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242004060803128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.61.0
10.311.3
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End5.4
red by 3.4
2905
#13
9.10.6
6.26.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.2
End4.0
Second
7600
#10
9.31.0
8.69.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End2.8
red by 1.0
8209
#12
8.30.9
7.58.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End4.4
Third
6430
#35
3.31.0
3.44.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End-0.2
blue by 4.5
8795
#26
7.80.9
5.96.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsEarned