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Red31
87555.9
70356.4
64296.4
Blue14
41917.4
80425.7
57733.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9170203040503114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7035
#40
6.41.9
4.66.5
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 0.9
4191
#38
7.40.1
5.35.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Second
6429
#32
6.41.1
2.94.1
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.8
red by 0.7
8042
#34
5.70.1
5.95.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End1.7
Third
8755
#14
5.91.9
2.24.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.7
End2.1
red by 2.9
5773
#47
3.10.1
3.83.7
Auto0.9
Teleop2.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed