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Red44
60255.3
76009.3
82636.3
Blue13
80798.4
81498.1
74653.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22200103040506070804413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7600
#10
9.31.0
9.58.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.0
End2.8
red by 0.9
8079
#9DQ
8.40.4
6.96.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End3.2
Second
6.31.0
6.95.9
Auto2.3
Teleop0.2
End3.8
blue by 1.8
8149
#37
8.10.7
7.77.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End3.4
Third
6025
#19
5.30.6
4.33.7
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End2.7
red by 1.7
7465
#46
3.70.7
4.53.8
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed