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Red23
641711.3
82098.3
64303.3
Blue43
80706.9
623215.4
822013.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2032010405060702343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6417
#22
11.30.3
7.88.0
Auto5.4
Teleop2.9
End2.9
blue by 4.1
15.41.2
11.512.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End10.0
Second
8209
#12
8.30.3
8.48.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End4.4
blue by 5.6
13.91.2
9.810.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End6.5
Third
6430
#35
3.30.3
4.44.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End-0.2
blue by 3.6
8070
#16
6.91.2
7.48.5
Auto2.7
Teleop0.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned