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Red14
74653.7
80425.7
85996.1
Blue45
84076.5
641711.3
41917.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16190103040501445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8599
#27
6.10.1
5.55.5
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.0
End3.1
blue by 5.2
6417
#22
11.32.0
8.010.0
Auto5.4
Teleop2.9
End2.9
Second
8042
#34
5.70.1
5.85.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End1.7
blue by 1.6
4191
#38
7.42.1
5.27.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Third
7465
#46
3.70.1
3.83.7
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
blue by 2.9
8407
#29
6.52.0
4.56.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed