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Red32
82636.3
856112.6
623215.4
Blue18
75693.0
83101.0
80798.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366010203040506070803218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.40.2
12.712.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End10.0
red by 7.0
8.40.3
6.56.8
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End3.2
Second
12.60.2
11.511.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End5.4
red by 9.6
7569
#48
3.00.5
2.53.0
Auto0.9
Teleop1.3
End0.8
Third
6.30.2
5.96.1
Auto2.3
Teleop0.2
End3.8
red by 5.3
8310
#44
1.00.5
0.51.0
Auto1.1
Teleop0.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned5%Hangar oddsMissed