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Red50
753616.1
623215.4
60255.3
Blue0
80798.4
822013.9
56556.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38260102050607080500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.0
15.215.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End8.7
red by 2.2
8220
#5DQ
13.90.2
13.213.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End6.5
Second
15.40.0
14.514.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End10.0
red by 7.0
8079
#9DQ
8.40.2
7.98.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End3.2
Third
6025
#19
5.30.0
4.74.7
Auto2.0
Teleop0.7
End2.7
blue by 0.6
5655
#41DQ
6.00.2
5.35.5
Auto1.3
Teleop2.7
End2.0