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Red78
853717.4
515227.7
167128.2
Blue60
335744.3
366828.1
395213.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631010501502007860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#54
28.20.9
21.922.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End8.2
blue by 16.1
3357
#13
44.32.0
47.045.0
Auto10.8
Teleop21.2
End12.3
Second
5152
#33
27.70.9
27.228.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End10.9
blue by 0.3
3668
#42
28.12.0
32.530.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End10.1
Third
8537
#59
17.40.9
14.715.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End3.4
red by 3.7
3952
#74
13.62.4
10.17.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned