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Red108
851621.8
379226.8
395928.6
Blue88
374918.5
409933.5
870814.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786620406010012010888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#17
28.62.2
26.829.0
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 4.9
4099
#34
33.51.6
33.034.6
Auto10.1
Teleop14.7
End8.8
Second
3792
#28
26.82.2
25.227.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End10.7
red by 8.2
3749
#60
18.51.6
17.318.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Third
8516
#39
21.82.2
19.321.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End7.7
red by 7.8
8708
#73
14.01.6
13.014.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned