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Red46
635812.5
645317.6
167128.2
Blue64
881810.4
140323.8
38626.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66644050607080904664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#54
28.21.0
27.826.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End8.2
red by 1.3
386
#27
26.90.2
27.327.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.8
End5.8
Second
6453
#52
17.61.0
18.617.5
Auto5.6
Teleop4.1
End7.9
blue by 6.1
1403
#30
23.80.2
24.424.6
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End8.7
Third
6358
#67
12.51.0
14.713.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End3.7
red by 2.1
8818
#53
10.40.2
9.79.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed57%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsEarned