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Red107
393225.5
441454.7
398626.7
Blue77
395213.6
139132.2
640115.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12754010015020010777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.4
57.757.3
Auto12.8
Teleop34.7
End7.2
red by 22.5
1391
#50
32.20.4
32.532.9
Auto10.5
Teleop13.4
End8.4
Second
3986
#23
26.70.4
27.026.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End9.7
red by 11.3
6401
#68
15.40.4
15.015.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Third
3932
#41
25.50.4
24.924.5
Auto7.4
Teleop5.1
End13.0
red by 11.9
3952
#74
13.60.4
12.212.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned