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Red129
851621.8
540643.2
803333.3
Blue73
461341.5
802215.2
473516.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1117605010015012973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.3
45.646.0
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End9.3
red by 1.7
41.50.2
44.043.8
Auto7.0
Teleop23.0
End11.5
Second
8033
#36
33.30.3
32.833.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End2.9
red by 16.9
4735
#40
16.40.2
16.616.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End5.9
Third
8516
#39
21.80.3
21.521.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End7.7
red by 6.7
8022
#65
15.20.2
15.415.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned