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Red95
800611.6
400345.4
64931.7
Blue84
34137.1
140323.8
8533.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981050501502009584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#21
45.40.4
45.845.4
Auto14.7
Teleop25.4
End5.3
red by 8.3
341
#19
37.10.9
38.537.6
Auto8.6
Teleop17.7
End10.8
Second
649
#20
31.70.4
34.834.5
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End7.8
blue by 1.8
85
#8
33.50.9
34.333.4
Auto10.1
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Third
8006
#46
11.60.4
12.011.6
Auto5.4
Teleop1.9
End4.4
blue by 12.1
1403
#30
23.80.9
24.623.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned