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Red119
546042.5
803333.3
7040.6
Blue127
336021.8
441454.7
418832.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231106080100140160180200119127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.2
42.942.7
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End9.7
blue by 12.2
54.71.2
54.255.5
Auto12.8
Teleop34.7
End7.2
Second
70
#7
40.60.2
40.840.7
Auto13.6
Teleop16.9
End10.1
red by 8.5
4188
#56
32.11.2
36.037.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End5.7
Third
8033
#36
33.30.2
30.130.0
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End2.9
red by 11.5
3360
#64
21.81.2
14.415.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned