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Red82
707211.1
335744.3
64931.7
Blue139
409933.5
635812.5
233741.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9292708010011012013082139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#13
44.30.8
45.044.3
Auto10.8
Teleop21.2
End12.3
red by 2.8
2337
#25
41.61.0
42.643.6
Auto13.5
Teleop19.4
End8.7
Second
649
#20
31.70.8
32.932.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End7.8
blue by 1.8
4099
#34
33.51.0
30.631.7
Auto10.1
Teleop14.7
End8.8
Third
7072
#49
11.10.9
7.56.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End3.9
blue by 1.4
6358
#67
12.51.0
14.215.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned