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Red61
208013.2
870814.0
803333.3
Blue84
640115.4
645317.6
490535.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567402040801001201406184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#36
33.30.4
29.830.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End2.9
blue by 2.0
4905
#15
35.31.1
34.035.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End11.4
Second
8708
#73
14.00.4
18.318.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.3
blue by 3.6
6453
#52
17.61.4
18.019.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.1
End7.9
Third
2080
#57
13.20.4
7.17.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End4.6
blue by 2.2
6401
#68
15.41.1
14.916.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsEarned