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Red94
3346.3
473516.4
634028.0
Blue78
418832.1
379226.8
365529.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961030501502002509478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#10
46.30.2
45.045.2
Auto12.1
Teleop22.5
End11.7
red by 14.2
4188
#56
32.11.7
38.536.8
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End5.7
Second
6340
#31
28.00.2
30.831.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.3
End10.4
blue by 2.0
3655
#63
29.91.7
29.527.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End10.9
Third
4735
#40
16.40.2
15.415.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End5.9
blue by 10.4
3792
#28
26.81.7
27.826.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned