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Red134
879313.3
461341.5
246843.2
Blue97
529816.4
64931.7
167128.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions997520406012014016018013497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.22.9
38.741.6
Auto7.7
Teleop23.3
End12.2
red by 11.5
649
#20
31.71.3
35.436.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End7.8
Second
41.52.9
38.241.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.0
End11.5
red by 13.3
1671
#54
28.21.3
25.526.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End8.2
Third
8793
#47
13.32.9
13.316.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End4.5
blue by 3.1
5298
#72
16.41.3
12.613.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned77%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsEarned