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Red85
155511.1
238328.7
336021.8
Blue108
490535.3
548431.8
8533.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49116010015085108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#38
28.72.0
29.631.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End7.1
blue by 6.6
4905
#15
35.30.5
35.135.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End11.4
Second
3360
#64
21.82.0
17.619.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End7.0
blue by 11.7
85
#8
33.50.5
34.334.8
Auto10.1
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Third
1555
#61
11.12.0
7.29.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End3.4
blue by 20.7
5484
#43
31.80.5
31.231.6
Auto8.6
Teleop14.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned