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Red52
853717.4
440020.0
635812.5
Blue114
65868.3
398626.7
205657.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48104015052114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#69
20.00.0
20.820.8
Auto7.3
Teleop9.9
End2.8
blue by 37.7
2056
#16
57.81.6
57.759.3
Auto16.9
Teleop31.5
End9.3
Second
8537
#59
17.40.0
18.318.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End3.4
blue by 9.3
3986
#23
26.71.6
26.628.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End9.7
Third
6358
#67
12.50.0
13.313.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End3.7
red by 4.2
6586
#75
8.31.6
6.37.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned