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Red146
517248.8
12550.4
64931.7
Blue119
365529.9
665219.8
408934.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1608650100150200250146119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#12
50.40.2
51.451.2
Auto12.2
Teleop27.9
End10.3
red by 15.8
4089
#45
34.61.1
40.641.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End5.5
Second
5172
#22
48.80.2
53.052.8
Auto13.3
Teleop30.0
End5.4
red by 18.9
3655
#63
29.91.1
28.329.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End10.9
Third
649
#20
31.70.2
36.736.5
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End7.8
red by 11.9
6652
#58
19.81.1
21.022.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned