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Red81
400345.4
395928.6
208013.2
Blue82
461118.4
179220.4
335744.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83900501001502008182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#21
45.40.1
43.643.8
Auto14.7
Teleop25.4
End5.3
red by 1.1
3357
#13
44.30.4
46.045.6
Auto10.8
Teleop21.2
End12.3
Second
3959
#17
28.60.1
26.126.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End4.6
red by 8.2
1792
#32
20.40.4
20.119.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2
Third
2080
#57
13.20.1
9.49.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End4.6
blue by 5.1
4611
#37
18.40.4
17.617.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed85%Hangar oddsEarned