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Red50
851621.8
395213.6
853717.4
Blue79
857411.5
174114.3
7040.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50710204060801001201401605079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8516
#39
21.80.0
19.419.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End7.7
blue by 18.8
70
#7
40.60.8
40.741.4
Auto13.6
Teleop16.9
End10.1
Second
8537
#59
17.40.0
19.319.4
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End3.4
red by 3.1
1741
#48
14.30.8
13.514.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End9.1
Third
3952
#74
13.60.0
10.810.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.8
red by 2.1
8574
#62
11.50.8
9.610.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed49%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsEarned